A recent New York Times/Siena poll, conducted between August 5-9, reveals a significant shift in favor of Vice President Kamala Harris in three crucial swing states: Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin. This poll, one of the first to capture likely voter sentiment since Harris became the Democratic nominee, indicates a surge in support for Harris.
Pennsylvania:
– Harris leads Trump by 4 points among likely voters (margin of error: 4.2 points)
– Harris leads Trump by 3 points among registered voters
Michigan:
– Harris leads Trump by 4 points among likely voters (margin of error: 4.8 points)
– Trump leads Harris by 2 points among registered voters
Wisconsin:
– Harris leads Trump by 4 points among likely voters (margin of error: 4.3 points)
– Harris leads Trump by 5 points among registered voters
Additional polls in other key states show mixed results:
– Georgia: Trump and Harris are tied in the Bloomberg/Morning Consult poll, while Trump leads by two points in the Emerson poll.
– Arizona: Harris leads by two points in the Bloomberg/Morning Consult poll, but trails by five points in the Emerson poll.
– North Carolina: Trump leads by two points in the Bloomberg/Morning Consult poll.
– Nevada: Harris leads by two points in the Bloomberg/Morning Consult poll.
Notably, Harris’s approval rating among likely voters in Pennsylvania has improved by 10% in the last month, according to the Times poll. National polls also indicate Harris cutting into Trump’s lead, with some showing her barely leading overall.